Ronaldo poised to lift Real Madrid against Getafe

Soccer Betting Lines

02/03/2012 - Getafe, Spain (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - La Liga leading-scorer Cristiano Ronaldo and his Real Madrid team face Getafe at the Coliseum Alfonso Perez on Saturday, and if history is any indication, the Portuguese superstar could be in line for an influential performance.

Ronaldo has bagged braces in his last two appearances at Getafe, scoring twice in a 4-2 win (Mar. 25, 2010) and a 3-2 win (Jan. 3, 2011) at the Coliseum.

The Portuguese superstar has also picked up four goals in Real Madrid's last two matches at the Bernabeu against Getafe, notching a hat trick in a 4-0 win on May 10 and one goal in a 4-2 win on Sep. 10.

Ronaldo's exceptional form has landed him at the top of the La Liga scoring chart with 24 goals through Real Madrid's 20 games, two better than Barcelona's Lionel Messi.

The scoring chart bears a strong resemblance to the La Liga table with Real Madrid holding down first place at the expense of Barcelona. The Catalans sit second and trail by seven points as the Galacticos set the pace in the Spanish top tier with 52 points.

Real Madrid avoided embarrassment in its last outing. After surrendering the opening goal to last-place Real Zaragoza, Madrid stormed back to claim a 3-1 victory at the Bernabeu.

The leaders will square off against a Getafe team that is unbeaten in its last six La Liga contests. The Coliseum club is coming off of a 2-1 win at Levante its last time out.

Should Real Madrid slip up at the Coliseum, Barcelona will look to capitalize in Saturday's latest kickoff as the Catalans welcome Real Sociedad to Camp Nou.

Barcelona stumbled in its last encounter, falling further behind Real Madrid in the title chase with a 0-0 draw with Villarreal. Real Sociedad has won two of its last three league contests and is coming off of a 5-1 thrashing of Sporting Gijon.

Elsewhere in La Liga on Saturday, Mallorca welcomes Real Betis to the Estadio Son Moix, Levante hosts Racing at the Ciutat de Valencia, and Athletic Bilbao faces Espanyol at San Mames.

Sunday will see third-place Valencia head to the Vicente Calderon where it will compete against seventh-place Atletico Madrid. Valencia has hit a rough patch of late, going without a win in its last four league games, while Atletico is firing on all cylinders with a three-game winning run.

Supplemental action Sunday features Sporting Gijon welcoming Osasuna, Sevilla hosting Villarreal, and Rayo Vallecano heading to Real Zaragoza.

The week's La Liga play wraps up on Monday with Granada hosting Malaga at Los Carmenes.

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How did changes to college football betting rules affect bettors?

The 2007 college football rules changes that were implemented to shorten games are now history. The NCAA rules committee did what they set out to do; games were cut by an average of 14 minutes per game last season. There were also, on average, 14 fewer plays per game. We’ll get into how that did (or didn’t) affect games in regards to the pointspread a bit later.

While the NCAA rules committee may have had the betterment of the game in mind, they'll now “turn back the clock” for next season. Two key rules have now been overturned by the NCAA committee for the 2007 season, something definitely for the better.

For those of you who may not remember what those rules actually were, let us refresh your memory.

1) The first one was actually starting the clock on a kickoff as soon as the kicker touched the ball rather than waiting until the returner touched it. The problem here was near the end of the half (or game), if the team leading was kicking off, they could milk the clock by intentionally running offsides and then re-kicking. They could run 10-15 seconds off the clock each play while taking just five-yard penalties each time. They could run the clock down and simply cause the half (or game) to end on a kickoff, keeping the opposing offense off the field. In 2007, the clock will now start when the returner touches the ball as it had before last season.

2) The second rule dealt with starting the clock after a change of online football betting possession rather than waiting until the ball was snapped. This took a lot of time off the clock throughout the game as teams changed possession, however it caused the most problems late in games (or halves). Rather than huddling up and calling a play, the offensive team would have to rush onto the field as the clock started. This was a definite disadvantage to a team that was trying to come from behind late in the game. This year the clock will start on a change of possession, after the ball is snapped.

How did those rules affect the college game last year and will it make a difference this year when it comes to the pointspread? We commonly heard two theories when it came to these changes. First, it would affect scoring negatively. Second, it would hurt favorites as they would have less time and fewer plays to cover the number.

Did the rules hurt scoring? Yes. It seemed obvious that shortening the game by what amounted to 14 plays would push scoring downward. That was the case last year. Of the 119 Division 1A teams, 69 squads scored fewer points in 2007 than they did in 2005. Just 48 teams had a higher PPG scoring average and two stayed the same. Almost 59 percent of the teams in college football last year had a lower PPG average than they did in 2005. Expect more scoring in 2007 as we revert back to the old rules.

Did the rules hinder favorites from covering the number in 2007? Not really. Last year the favorites posted an overall spread record of 336-350-16 (48.9 percent). The year before, favorites were 316-326-13 (49.2 percent). In 2004, the favorites were 316-339-2 (48.2 percent). In fact, college football favorites have been above 50 percent for the season just once in the last seven years (in 2003). Last year’s numbers fell right in line with where they have been historically.

How about big favorites? The rules must have hurt them? Maybe a little bit. Double-digit favorites last year came in at a 47.8 percent clip compare with an average of just over 50 percent over the last seven years. Since 1980, favorites of -10 or more have covered at exactly a 50 percent clip (measured over 6,716 games).

Even bigger favorites must have struggled? Not really. In fact, it was just the opposite. Favorites of three TD’s or more were 59-54-2 last year (52.2 percent). Since 2000, those same favorites (-21 or higher) hit at 51.3 percent and since 1990 came in a clip of 50.3 percent. Stepping it up a notch to four TD favorites or higher, we actually see they've covered at a much better rate last season than before. Last year, favorites of -28 or more were 31-21-1, or almost 60 percent. Historically, four-TD-or-higher favorites have come in at a 50.7 percent spot since 2000 and only 48.9 percent since 1990. The “perceived” problem with the favorites covering at a reduced rate really never came to fruition.

Bottom line is, there might be some more scoring in 2007, but no real revelations when it comes to finding any pointspread golden nuggets.

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